MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMINMinnesota Twins47%
SFGSan Francisco Giants53%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterConnor PrielippProbable
Model pickSFG moneyline53%Model 20260921_auto
SFGHome starterCesar PerdomoProbable
MIN47%ML -148
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability43%Selected moneyline pick
SFG53%ML +125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Connor PrielippMIN starter / away
Projected K4.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.549%
O 5.533%
O 6.520%
O 7.511%
O 8.55%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Cesar PerdomoSFG starter / home
Projected K3.5
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%
O 2.568%
O 3.547%
O 4.528%
O 5.515%
O 6.57%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-148 / +125MIN / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -1
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total