MLB / mlb / live
MIN 2 / SFG 5MINMinnesota Twins52%
SFGSan Francisco Giants48%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterZebby MatthewsProbable
Model pickMIN moneyline52%Model 20260921_auto
SFGHome starterBlade TidwellProbable
MIN52%ML -130
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
SFG48%ML +108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / away
Projected K4.1
Best price at 4.54.5O -107 draftkings / U -105 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.577%
O 3.559%
O 4.540%
O 5.524%
O 6.513%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Blade TidwellSFG starter / home
Projected K4.1
Best price at 3.53.5O -155 betmgm / U +130 fanatics6 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-130 / +108MIN / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total