MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSTLSt. Louis Cardinals46%
SFGSan Francisco Giants54%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterAndre PallanteProbable
Model pickSFG moneyline54%Model 20260907_auto
SFGHome starterBlade TidwellProbable
STL46%ML -125
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability47%Selected moneyline pick
SFG54%ML +104
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Andre PallanteSTL starter / away
Projected K3.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.571%
O 3.550%
O 4.532%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Blade TidwellSFG starter / home
Projected K4.0
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-125 / +104STL / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -114 / U -114
29 books28 ML22 run line21 total