MLB / mlb / live
ARI 1 / SFG 6ARIArizona Diamondbacks46%
SFGSan Francisco Giants54%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterJose CabreraConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
SFGHome starterLanden RouppConfirmed
ARI46%ML -121
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SFG54%ML +104
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.9
Market total8.3
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jose CabreraARI starter / away
Projected K2.8Actual 4 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.575%over
O 2.552%over
O 3.530%over
O 4.515%under
O 5.57%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Landen RouppSFG starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +117 draftkings / U -130 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 4.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%under
O 4.534%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-121 / +104ARI / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.3O -111 / U -111
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total