MLB / mlb / live
DET 8 / SFG 0DETDetroit Tigers52%
SFGSan Francisco Giants48%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterJackson JobeConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
SFGHome starterLanden RouppConfirmed
DET52%ML -115
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
SFG48%ML +100
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jackson JobeDET starter / away
Projected K3.3Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -140 draftkings / U +120 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 3.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.583%over
O 2.563%over
O 3.541%over
O 4.524%under
O 5.512%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Landen RouppSFG starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -156 fanduel / U +126 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-115 / +100DET / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-163)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total