MLB / mlb / live
LAA 6 / SFG 7LAALos Angeles Angels41%
SFGSan Francisco Giants59%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline59%Model 20260720_auto
SFGHome starterLogan WebbConfirmed
LAA41%ML +134
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
SFG59%ML -159
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Grayson RodriguezLAA starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 betmgm / U -155 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 4.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.570%over
O 3.549%under
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Logan WebbSFG starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -160 fanatics / U +140 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%under
O 5.542%under
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+134 / -159LAA / SFG moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+134)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -102 / U -116
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total