MLB / mlb / live
CHC 1 / SFG 5CHCChicago Cubs46%
SFGSan Francisco Giants54%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterRyan RolisonConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
SFGHome starterLogan WebbConfirmed
CHC46%ML +114
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
SFG54%ML -134
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan RolisonCHC starter / away
Projected K1.7Actual 0 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.549%under
O 2.523%under
O 3.59%under
O 4.53%under
O 5.51%under
O 6.50%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Logan WebbSFG starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +105 betmgm / U -122 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%over
O 7.511%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+114 / -134CHC / SFG moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total