MLB / mlb / live
ARI 6 / SFG 2ARIArizona Diamondbacks56%
SFGSan Francisco Giants44%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMerrill Kelly
Model pickARI moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
SFGHome starterLanden Roupp
ARI56%ML +112
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability45%Selected moneyline pick
SFG44%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+112 / -132ARI / SFG moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -103
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total