MLB / mlb / live
SDP 5 / SFG 1SDPSan Diego Padres59%
SFGSan Francisco Giants41%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterBradgley Rodriguez
Model pickSDP moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
SFGHome starterAdrian Houser
SDP59%ML -110
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
SFG41%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total9.4
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -108SDP / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-173)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total