MLB / mlb / live
SDP 2 / SFG 3SDPSan Diego Padres55%
SFGSan Francisco Giants45%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRandy Vásquez
Model pickSDP moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
SFGHome starterTrevor McDonald
SDP55%ML -145
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
SFG45%ML +122
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-145 / +122SDP / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-138)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -108 / U -114
32 books30 ML24 run line22 total