MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals39%
SDPSan Diego Padres61%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterJackson KentProbable
Model pickSDP moneyline61%Model 20260907_auto
SDPHome starterWalker BuehlerProbable
WSN39%ML +160
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
SDP61%ML -195
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.6
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Jackson KentWSN starter / away
Projected K4.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.513%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Walker BuehlerSDP starter / home
Projected K4.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.576%
O 3.558%
O 4.539%
O 5.523%
O 6.513%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+160 / -195WSN / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -105
30 books29 ML23 run line21 total