MLB / mlb / live
HOU 2 / SDP 7HOUHouston Astros47%
SDPSan Diego Padres53%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterCristian JavierProbable
Model pickSDP moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
SDPHome starterRandy VásquezProbable
HOU47%ML +100
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
SDP53%ML -118
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cristian JavierHOU starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +102 draftkings / U -103 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 3.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.565%under
O 3.543%under
O 4.525%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Randy VásquezSDP starter / home
Projected K3.0Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -127 betrivers / U +118 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 2.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%under
O 2.557%under
O 3.536%under
O 4.519%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -118HOU / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total