MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSFGSan Francisco Giants42%
SDPSan Diego Padres58%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterLanden RouppProbable
Model pickSDP moneyline58%Model 20260727_auto
SDPHome starterMichael KingProbable
SFG42%ML +125
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
SDP58%ML -150
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Landen RouppSFG starter / away
Projected K4.6
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.566%
O 4.548%
O 5.531%
O 6.519%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Michael KingSDP starter / home
Projected K4.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.568%
O 4.550%
O 5.533%
O 6.520%
O 7.511%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+125 / -150SFG / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+142)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -107
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total