MLB / mlb / live
SFG 0 / SDP 7SFGSan Francisco Giants40%
SDPSan Diego Padres60%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterCarson WhisenhuntConfirmed
Model pickSDP moneyline60%Model 20260727_auto
SDPHome starterBradgley RodriguezConfirmed
SFG40%ML +130
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
SDP60%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Carson WhisenhuntSFG starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 betmgm / U +120 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%under
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Bradgley RodriguezSDP starter / home
Projected K1.8Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.553%over
O 2.527%under
O 3.511%under
O 4.54%under
O 5.51%under
O 6.50%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+130 / -152SFG / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total