MLB / mlb / live
PHI 4 / SDP 3PHIPhiladelphia Phillies46%
SDPSan Diego Padres54%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAaron Nola
Model pickSDP moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterRandy Vásquez
PHI46%ML -107
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
SDP54%ML -110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-107 / -110PHI / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total