MLB / mlb / live
CHC 5 / SDP 4CHCChicago Cubs56%
SDPSan Diego Padres44%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterJameson Taillon
Model pickCHC moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterMatt Waldron
CHC56%ML -111
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
SDP44%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-111 / -108CHC / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -104 / U -118
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total