MLB / mlb / live
STL 1 / PIT 2STLSt. Louis Cardinals41%
PITPittsburgh Pirates59%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterKyle LeahyConfirmed
Model pickPIT moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
PITHome starterPaul SkenesConfirmed
STL41%ML +138
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
PIT59%ML -164
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total7.9
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
In progress / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle LeahySTL starter / away
Projected K4.2
Best price at 3.53.5O +132 fanduel / U -165 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.578%
O 3.559%
O 4.540%
O 5.525%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Paul SkenesPIT starter / home
Projected K4.8
Best price at 5.55.5O -110 betmgm / U +108 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.535%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.552%
O 5.535%
O 6.522%
O 7.512%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+138 / -164STL / PIT moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total