MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSTLSt. Louis Cardinals50%
PITPittsburgh Pirates50%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterAndre PallanteProbable
Model pickSTL moneyline50%Model 20260921_auto
PITHome starterJared JonesProbable
STL50%ML +127
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability42%Selected moneyline pick
PIT50%ML -152
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Andre PallanteSTL starter / away
Projected K4.0
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.576%
O 3.556%
O 4.538%
O 5.522%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jared JonesPIT starter / home
Projected K5.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.591%
O 3.580%
O 4.565%
O 5.549%
O 6.534%
O 7.522%
O 8.513%
O 9.57%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+127 / -152STL / PIT moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+149)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -103 / U -125
32 books31 ML25 run line23 total