MLB / mlb / live
MIL 4 / PIT 7MILMilwaukee Brewers54%
PITPittsburgh Pirates46%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterKyle HarrisonConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260914_auto
PITHome starterWilber DotelConfirmed
MIL54%ML -136
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PIT46%ML +115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle HarrisonMIL starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betmgm / U -145 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%under
O 3.574%under
O 4.557%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Wilber DotelPIT starter / home
Projected K2.6Actual 2 K / Over 1.5
Best price at 1.51.5O -130 fanatics / U +103 draftkings2 books at this line
Model over 1.573%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.573%over
O 2.548%under
O 3.527%under
O 4.513%under
O 5.56%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-136 / +115MIL / PIT moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total