MLB / mlb / live
ATL 5 / PHI 2ATLAtlanta Braves46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterChris SaleConfirmed
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260831_auto
PHIHome starterCristopher SánchezConfirmed
ATL46%ML +100
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PHI54%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total7.9
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Chris SaleATL starter / away
Projected K6.7Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -114 betonlineag / U -104 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 6.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.589%over
O 4.578%over
O 5.564%over
O 6.549%over
O 7.535%under
O 8.524%under
O 9.515%under
O 10.59%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / home
Projected K6.4Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +110 betonlineag / U -120 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 6.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.587%over
O 4.575%over
O 5.560%under
O 6.545%under
O 7.531%under
O 8.520%under
O 9.512%under
O 10.57%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -120ATL / PHI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-190)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -104 / U -116
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total