MLB / mlb / live
WSN 3 / PHI 7WSNWashington Nationals46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterMiles MikolasConfirmed
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260803_auto
PHIHome starterCristopher SánchezConfirmed
WSN46%ML +270
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PHI54%ML -340
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.4
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Miles MikolasWSN starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -164 betonlineag / U +135 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 2.568%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%under
O 2.568%under
O 3.547%under
O 4.529%under
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / home
Projected K6.6Actual 6 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +120 betrivers / U -130 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 7.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.563%over
O 6.548%under
O 7.534%under
O 8.523%under
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+270 / -340WSN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -111
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total