MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals47%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies53%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterAndrew AlvarezProbable
Model pickPHI moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
PHIHome starterAaron NolaConfirmed
WSN47%ML +130
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
PHI53%ML -152
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+130 / -152WSN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -118 / U -103
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total