MLB / mlb / live
LAD 7 / PHI 10LADLos Angeles Dodgers45%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies55%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterEmmet SheehanConfirmed
Model pickPHI moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
PHIHome starterCristopher SánchezConfirmed
LAD45%ML +125
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
PHI55%ML -150
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Emmet SheehanLAD starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -122 fanduel / U +100 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%over
O 5.541%over
O 6.526%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +125 betonlineag / U -142 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 6.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.554%over
O 6.539%over
O 7.526%under
O 8.516%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -150LAD / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total