MLB / mlb / live
LAD 2 / PHI 1LADLos Angeles Dodgers42%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies58%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterJustin WrobleskiConfirmed
Model pickPHI moneyline58%Model 20260720_auto
PHIHome starterZack WheelerConfirmed
LAD42%ML +100
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
PHI58%ML -118
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Justin WrobleskiLAD starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +100 betmgm / U -110 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 5.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.537%over
O 6.523%over
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Zack WheelerPHI starter / home
Projected K6.5Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -125 bovada / U +100 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 6.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.563%over
O 6.548%over
O 7.534%over
O 8.522%over
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -118LAD / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total