MLB / mlb / live
SDP 4 / PHI 6SDPSan Diego Padres46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterLucas Giolito
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterZack Wheeler
SDP46%ML +178
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PHI54%ML -216
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+178 / -216SDP / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total