MLB / mlb / live
SDP 2 / PHI 3SDPSan Diego Padres46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRandy Vásquez
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
SDP46%ML +128
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PHI54%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+128 / -152SDP / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total