MLB / mlb / live
CIN 9 / PHI 4CINCincinnati Reds42%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies58%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew Abbott
Model pickPHI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
CIN42%ML +130
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
PHI58%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+130 / -152CIN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total