MLB / mlb / live
CIN 4 / PHI 5CINCincinnati Reds46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterNick Lodolo
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAndrew Painter
CIN46%ML +108
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
PHI54%ML -125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.5
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+108 / -125CIN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -116 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total