MLB / mlb / live
CIN 4 / PHI 5CINCincinnati Reds46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterNick Lodolo
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAndrew Painter
CIN46%ML +108
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PHI54%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.5
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+108 / -125CIN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -116 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total