MLB / mlb / live
ATL 9 / PHI 0ATLAtlanta Braves40%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies60%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterMartín Pérez
Model pickPHI moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterTaijuan Walker
ATL40%ML -114
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
PHI60%ML -105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-114 / -105ATL / PHI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -104 / U -116
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total