MLB / mlb / live
CHC 10 / PHI 4CHCChicago Cubs42%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies58%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterRiley Martin
Model pickPHI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
CHC42%ML +118
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
PHI58%ML -137
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+118 / -137CHC / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -112 / U -109
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total