MLB / mlb / live
ARI 4 / PHI 3ARIArizona Diamondbacks40%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies60%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterZac Gallen
Model pickPHI moneyline60%Model production_v1
PHIHome starterZach Pop
ARI40%ML +125
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
PHI60%ML -150
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+125 / -150ARI / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total