MLB / mlb / live
ARI 3 / PHI 4ARIArizona Diamondbacks43%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies57%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterBrandon Pfaadt
Model pickPHI moneyline57%Model production_v1
PHIHome starterTaijuan Walker
ARI43%ML +108
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
PHI57%ML -127
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+108 / -127ARI / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total