MLB / mlb / live
TOR 4 / NYY 3TORToronto Blue Jays48%
NYYNew York Yankees52%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterDylan CeaseConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline52%Model 20260817_auto
NYYHome starterRyan WeathersConfirmed
TOR48%ML -110
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
NYY52%ML -106
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.7
Market total6.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / away
Projected K8.6Actual 8 K / Under 8.5
Best price at 8.58.5O -115 betonlineag / U -101 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 8.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%over
O 2.599%over
O 3.596%over
O 4.591%over
O 5.584%over
O 6.573%over
O 7.561%over
O 8.548%under
O 9.536%under
O 10.525%under
O 11.517%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +122 betonlineag / U -150 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%under
O 4.556%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -106TOR / NYY moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-193)Home spread price shown for context
Total context6.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total