MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSTLSt. Louis Cardinals47%
NYYNew York Yankees53%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterHunter DobbinsProbable
Model pickNYY moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
NYYHome starterRyan WeathersProbable
STL47%ML +144
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability61%Selected moneyline pick
NYY53%ML -174
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Hunter DobbinsSTL starter / away
Projected K3.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.573%
O 3.554%
O 4.535%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / home
Projected K5.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.575%
O 4.558%
O 5.542%
O 6.527%
O 7.516%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+144 / -174STL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -104 / U -118
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total