MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSTLSt. Louis Cardinals37%
NYYNew York Yankees63%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMichael McGreevyProbable
Model pickNYY moneyline63%Model 20260727_auto
NYYHome starterCam SchlittlerProbable
STL37%ML +168
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability64%Selected moneyline pick
NYY63%ML -200
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Michael McGreevySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.574%
O 3.555%
O 4.536%
O 5.521%
O 6.511%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Cam SchlittlerNYY starter / home
Projected K6.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.595%
O 3.587%
O 4.576%
O 5.561%
O 6.546%
O 7.532%
O 8.521%
O 9.513%
O 10.57%
O 11.54%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+168 / -200STL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -111 / U -114
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total