Back to board

MLB / mlb / live

LAD 1 / NYY 2
LADLos Angeles Dodgers58%
NYYNew York Yankees42%

at Yankee Stadium

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
LADAway starterWill KleinConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline58%Model 20260713_auto
NYYHome starterRyan YarbroughConfirmed
LAD58%ML -139
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
NYY42%ML +116

Projection Context

Projected margin0.9
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Will KleinLAD starter / away
Projected K2.3Actual 1 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.567%under
O 2.541%under
O 3.521%under
O 4.59%under
O 5.53%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.

Ryan YarbroughNYY starter / home
Projected K3.4Actual 1 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%under
O 2.566%under
O 3.545%under
O 4.526%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus-139 / +116LAD / NYY moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -114 / U -108
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total