MLB / mlb / live
BOS 6 / NYY 0BOSBoston Red Sox46%
NYYNew York Yankees54%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterJake BennettConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
NYYHome starterCarlos RodónConfirmed
BOS46%ML -105
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
NYY54%ML -112
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.5
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Ranger SuarezBOS starter / away
Projected K4.8Did not start / void
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.569%
O 4.552%
O 5.535%
O 6.521%
O 7.512%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Will WarrenNYY starter / home
Projected K2.9Did not start / void
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.578%
O 2.555%
O 3.533%
O 4.517%
O 5.58%
O 6.53%
O 7.51%
O 8.50%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-105 / -112BOS / NYY moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total