MLB / mlb / live
TEX 4 / NYY 7TEXTexas Rangers46%
NYYNew York Yankees54%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterJacob deGrom
Model pickNYY moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
NYYHome starterElmer RodrÃguez
TEX46%ML +109
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
NYY54%ML -128
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+109 / -128TEX / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total