MLB / mlb / live
LAA 11 / NYY 4LAALos Angeles Angels40%
NYYNew York Yankees60%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterBrent Suter
Model pickNYY moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
NYYHome starterMax Fried
LAA40%ML +225
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability71%Selected moneyline pick
NYY60%ML -278
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.9
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+225 / -278LAA / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -110 / U -112
32 books30 ML24 run line22 total