MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMIAMiami Marlins45%
NYMNew York Mets55%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterSandy AlcantaraProbable
Model pickNYM moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
NYMHome starterRobert StockProbable
MIA45%ML -120
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
NYM55%ML +100
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Sandy AlcantaraMIA starter / away
Projected K5.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.574%
O 4.558%
O 5.541%
O 6.527%
O 7.516%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-120 / +100MIA / NYM moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -104
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total