MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMIAMiami Marlins46%
NYMNew York Mets54%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterJanson JunkProbable
Model pickNYM moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
NYMHome starterFreddy PeraltaProbable
MIA46%ML +110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
NYM54%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Janson JunkMIA starter / away
Projected K3.9
Best price at 3.53.5O -157 draftkings / U +128 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.573%
O 3.553%
O 4.534%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Freddy PeraltaNYM starter / home
Projected K5.0
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 bovada / U -142 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.572%
O 4.555%
O 5.538%
O 6.524%
O 7.514%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -132MIA / NYM moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total