MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMIAMiami Marlins45%
NYMNew York Mets55%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterEury PérezProbable
Model pickNYM moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
NYMHome starterNolan McLeanProbable
MIA45%ML +110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
NYM55%ML -130
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eury PérezMIA starter / away
Projected K5.6
Best price at 5.55.5O -132 fanduel / U +108 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.591%
O 3.580%
O 4.565%
O 5.548%
O 6.533%
O 7.521%
O 8.512%
O 9.57%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Nolan McLeanNYM starter / home
Projected K6.1
Best price at 6.56.5O +110 bovada / U -119 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 6.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.593%
O 3.584%
O 4.572%
O 5.556%
O 6.541%
O 7.528%
O 8.517%
O 9.510%
O 10.56%
O 11.53%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -130MIA / NYM moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total