MLB / mlb / live
scheduledATLAtlanta Braves56%
NYMNew York Mets44%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterChris SaleProbable
Model pickATL moneyline56%Model 20260727_auto
NYMHome starterChristian ScottProbable
ATL56%ML -163
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
NYM44%ML +136
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.8
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Chris SaleATL starter / away
Projected K6.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.594%
O 3.586%
O 4.574%
O 5.559%
O 6.544%
O 7.530%
O 8.520%
O 9.512%
O 10.57%
O 11.54%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Christian ScottNYM starter / home
Projected K5.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.579%
O 4.563%
O 5.547%
O 6.532%
O 7.520%
O 8.512%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-163 / +136ATL / NYM moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -120
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total