MLB / mlb / live
scheduledBOSBoston Red Sox47%
NYMNew York Mets53%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickNYM moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
NYMHome starterStarter TBD
BOS47%ML +125
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
NYM53%ML -155
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Freddy PeraltaNYM starter / home
Projected K5.0
Best price at 5.55.5O -125 fanatics / U +104 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.572%
O 4.555%
O 5.538%
O 6.524%
O 7.514%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+125 / -155BOS / NYM moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+138)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -118
25 books24 ML16 run line15 total