MLB / mlb / live
CIN 2 / NYM 4CINCincinnati Reds42%
NYMNew York Mets58%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew Abbott
Model pickNYM moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
NYMHome starterHuascar Brazobán
CIN42%ML +102
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
NYM58%ML -120
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+102 / -120CIN / NYM moneyline
Run line context-1.3 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total