MLB / mlb / live
NYY 6 / NYM 7NYYNew York Yankees49%
NYMNew York Mets51%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterElmer RodrÃguez
Model pickNYM moneyline51%Model 20260414_1
NYMHome starterFreddy Peralta
NYY49%ML -106
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
NYM51%ML -113
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-106 / -113NYY / NYM moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -104
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total