MLB / mlb / live
CLE 9 / MIN 2CLECleveland Guardians43%
MINMinnesota Twins57%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterTanner BibeeConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline57%Model 20260907_auto
MINHome starterJoe RyanConfirmed
CLE43%ML +107
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
MIN57%ML -126
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tanner BibeeCLE starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -162 fanduel / U +130 fanatics6 books at this line
Model over 3.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.559%over
O 4.540%over
O 5.524%over
O 6.513%over
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Joe RyanMIN starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +126 draftkings / U -159 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 4.565%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%under
O 2.591%under
O 3.580%under
O 4.565%under
O 5.549%under
O 6.534%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+107 / -126CLE / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -1
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total