MLB / mlb / live
CHW 1 / MIN 5CHWChicago White Sox42%
MINMinnesota Twins58%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterJordan HicksConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline58%Model 20260824_auto
MINHome starterZebby MatthewsConfirmed
CHW42%ML +100
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
MIN58%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jordan HicksCHW starter / away
Projected K3.2Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%under
O 2.561%under
O 3.539%under
O 4.522%under
O 5.511%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -146 fanduel / U +121 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%over
O 5.543%under
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -120CHW / MIN moneyline
Run line context0.0 (-10)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -124 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total