MLB / mlb / live
DET 1 / MIN 11DETDetroit Tigers42%
MINMinnesota Twins58%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterJackson JobeConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline58%Model 20260831_auto
MINHome starterTaj BradleyConfirmed
DET42%ML +110
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
MIN58%ML -127
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jackson JobeDET starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -110 betmgm / U -108 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.534%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Taj BradleyMIN starter / home
Projected K6.0Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -102 draftkings / U -110 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 5.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.570%over
O 5.554%over
O 6.539%over
O 7.526%over
O 8.516%over
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -127DET / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total