MLB / mlb / live
CHW 3 / MIN 2CHWChicago White Sox41%
MINMinnesota Twins59%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterErick FeddeConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline59%Model 20260824_auto
MINHome starterBailey OberConfirmed
CHW41%ML -105
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
MIN59%ML -111
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Erick FeddeCHW starter / away
Projected K2.9Actual 4 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +100 betmgm / U -105 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 2.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.578%over
O 2.556%over
O 3.534%over
O 4.518%under
O 5.58%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Bailey OberMIN starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -165 betmgm / U +133 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.564%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%over
O 4.545%over
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-105 / -111CHW / MIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-176)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total